Is something fishy going on?
Wednesday 25th July 2007, 7:22PM BST.
Bookmakers banned him because whenever he bet on the weather he would clean up.
Shropshire-bred weather expert Piers Corbyn isn’t lucky – when it comes to predicting what’s going to fall out of the sky and how many layers of waterproof clothing to wear, he’s just more right than most other people.
“I went to William Hill for 12 years and bet £600 a month on the weather,” he says, “and I was winning back 30 to 40 per cent, which was about £20,000 or something.
“Then they stopped it – they refused to do it any more.”
The weather is a British obsession and with the term “global warming” used to explain every freak climate change from the hottest April on record to the wettest June ever and the disastrous July floods, everyone is suddenly an expert.
However, Piers, a former student of Adams Grammar School in Newport and now a long-range weather forecaster for Weather Action in London, remains at odds with the views of international scientists and is sceptical about carbon dioxide as a key driver of climate change.
He wants nothing to do with what he describes as “the promotion of hysteria” and says changes in world climate have nothing to do with man, the emissions pumped from the exhaust pipe of his BMW, or the size of his so-called carbon footprint.
He recently argued his corner on the topic for Channel 4′s explosive documentary The Great Global Warming Swindle.
Speaking from his London office, he says: “In terms of global warming, the world is cooling down not heating up and has been since the peak of 1998. It’s a nonsense.
“There has been warming from 1910 to 2000, now that has stopped. It’s a nonsense that it is caused by man – it’s a natural process.”
It means that in terms of man-made global warming Piers cares not a jot for his carbon footprint or campaigns to reduce the size of it.
“I take absolutely no precautions myself – I think everyone should have a carbon footprint as big as Al Gore’s,” he says with a note of sarcasm in reference to the eco principles of the eco-principled American politician who made Oscar-winning climate change movie An Inconvenient Truth.
“It’s having no effect – it’s a movement to make people feel guilty about living.”
He is, however, concerned with squandering precious world energy sources but describes such forms of generating energy from things like wind power as “stupid”.
Born on the day of the big thaw of March, 1947, following the extreme winter that year, ten years later he moved from Wiltshire to Newport where he grew up at Yew Tree Manor on Pave Lane.
It was here, while studying at the grammar school, that he became fascinated with the weather and built a giant barometer, the first of many homemade contraptions.
“I did a lot of thinking at that house and I built the barometer up the side of the house, 30ft high – there are still the marks on the wall where it was,” he says.
“I remember recording that astoundingly cold winter of 1963 where the temperature went down to minus 17 degrees.
“I also built an anemometer to measure the wind speed, and I’ve still got it.”
Here was a boy doing what boys interested in science did – experimenting to his heart’s content and building an array of homemade meteorological inventions which also included a soil moisture measuring device made out of an old oil drum.
There was also a contraption made from a bucket with a glass top which was fitted with a thermometer and some soot and measured the radiation temperature of the cooling night sky. Brilliant.
Driven by weather and its effects, he won a Royal Scholarship to study physics at Imperial College, London, was top of the class and emerged clutching a first class honours degree.
Later he began researching a new method of predicting the weather for up to 12 month in advance. The technique involved studying the activity of the sun and matching various force factors, winds and the state of the moon, then overlaying the results with similar weather patterns from previous years.
His methods were simple, as simple goes. And largely correct.
So convinced was he about the success of his predictions that as another experiment he tested them down at the local bookies and created a silver lining from every cloud in the sky.
Today Piers is a respected astrophysicist and through his company Weather Action is in demand for his predictions.
This summer was supposed to be the warmest on record, according to some experts. Piers, however, had other ideas and in January was back to his betting ways, raising the stakes and inviting bets from anyone who would put their money where there mouth was.
“Nobody came forward to place a bet,” he says.
Piers has again been proved largely correct with his weather predictions. He warned about the large scale flooding of June six months ago.
And as far as the rest of the summer – what summer?
“Just don’t throw away those wellies and woollies,” he says.
By Ben Bentley
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Let’s have a contest between my “Weather Rock” and Mr. Corbyn. A preliminary estimate is that it would be a 50-50 contest.
For more about the “famous” pseudo-documentary, please see:
“The Great Global Warming Swindle” is itself a Fraud and a Swindle (Recommended by MIT’s Professor Carl Wunsch – see the web page for documentation.)
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I certainly hope his future is a bright one!
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Suppose he is right – so if we continue to try to reduce our carbon footprint anyway then at worst all we’ll do is leave the planet in a cleaner and healthier state for our kids and grandkids.
However we could also do nothing, as he advocates – but suppose he is wrong? We’d be dooming the planet.
This is why people like him are so dangerous – with all the scientific evidence now to hand and the science community finally uniting to say that man accelerated global warming is happening and is a threat, it takes the ramblings of just one man to have the masses going “oh, stuff the other lot and all the evidence, it’s going to be alright anyway ‘cos this bloke says so”.
Personally, I’m not going to take the chance that he’s wrong.
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I can’t help but feel that the temperature has gone up quite dramatically over the past several years.
I remember minus 25 in Shrewsbury and cool wet winds when living on Long Mountain.
Nowadays, I spend most of my time in shorts and drip perspiration after even the slightest effort.
Breathlessly yours,
Jim Hatch
Olinala Princesa,
Acapulco, Mexico
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My thoughts exactly…I remember not so many years ago SCIENTISTS predicting an ice age coming..now it is global warming.
It is just another bunch of bull to tax us for. example carbon tax, luxury tax, green tax,thumb tax it is nothing but a new way to grab more money…Mount Pinatobo or how ever you spell it put more crap into the air than man has in 5oo years. that my story and Im sticking to it..
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Interesting that Mr Corbyn’s claims are accepted so uncritically.
Where for example did he predict that there would be massive floods in June last January?
What ‘experts’ predicted that this year would be the hottest year on record?
What exactly was he asking people to people to bet on, where, and at what odds?
As Corbyn’s ‘forecasts’ are secret unless you pay for them – he’s in a position to claim he forecast just about anything after the event.
This is why he’s not a ‘respected astrophysicist’ as you claim – scientists get respect for publishing in scientific journals – not for getting themselves advertised in the press on the basis of suspect claims.
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I recently heard Mr Corbyn on Five Live being interviewed about climate change. He pressed his views by shouting loudly, at speed, and generally trying not to allow the scientist putting the other side of the argument (about sun spots and their effect on the climate) to get a word in. In a word, rude. Maybe he thinks that loudness will win rather than the refereed papers of the majority of the scientific community which now acknowledges climate change.
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Piers is right. The sun and moon control weather, not man. Otherwise insurance companies will be required to drop “Act of God” from their policies. Weather is cyclic, just like all the rest of nature. Global warming is nonsense. See http://www.predictweather.com for some more sound commonsense.
Gene
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Oh please, how can anybody believe this guy? His methods (“solar weather technique” anyone?)have never been peer reviewed. His views on climate change serve only to raise his profile and hence revenue for his company.
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